BY ANNA NEMTSOVA
As Belarusian strongman Alexander Lukashenko looks set to win another victory in Friday's presidential elections, FP looks at eight brave activists who still hope for a better future.
Andrei Sannikov, opposition presidential candidate
"We believe it was one more political murder -- a message to other politicians and journalists right before the elections," Andrei Sannikov, one of the two main candidates running against incumbent Lukashenko, told me last week. We were talking in his office in Belarus's capital, Minsk. In September, Sannikov's campaign manager Oleg Babenin, by all accounts a happily married family man, had been found dead inside his home, his limp body hanging from a handmade noose. Officially the death was ruled a suicide. But Sannikov sees it as only the latest in a long line of chilling abductions and murders over 16 years intended to silence or cripple Lukashenko's political opposition. "We are determined to win this time," Sannikov said.
Irina Khalip, investigative reporter
One evening this March, Sannikov's wife, investigative reporter Irina Khalip, heard a voice outside her apartment. "Open the door, or we break it!" a man barked. "We have a general prosecutor's permit!" Her first thought was, "They are going to scare Dania," her 2-year-old son, who was already asleep. Soon a dozen uniformed security officers -- "KGB," she calls them -- were standing inside her home, carrying garbage bags in their hands. The men confiscated her computer, her DVDs, some old 3-inch diskettes, and even CDs with Italian operas. Today there is not a single independent newspaper in print in Belarus. The government has shuttered the three independent newspapers Khalip had once worked for. Today she writes for independent Internet news sites and Russia's Novaya Gazeta newspaper.
Nikolay Khalezin, playwright and co-founder of Belarus Free Theater
In 1998, playwright Nikolay Khalezin participated in an anti-Lukashenko protest. Soon after, he was detained inside a tiny cell in a Minsk prison for five hours. "That was nothing else but torture," he remembers. He was not sure he would ever "see the light or my beloved one ever again." Khalezin meant his future wife, Natalya Kolyada, whom he had met at an opposition protest. Four years ago, he and Kolyada founded Belarus Free Theater, one of the country's few forums for free expression. Many of his political plays are based on letters written by his friends in prison. Yet he wonders how much impact he will ever have. "We have been ringing a bell made of cotton for 16 years," he says of Belarus's opposition movement, "watching our friends being murdered and abducted."
Natalya Kolyada, co-founder of Belarus Free Theater
Natalya Kolyada, Khalezin's wife, was hurrying to board her plane to London along with members of the Belarus Free Theater group one day this fall. But she was detained at customs control and taken to a cell in the basement of Minsk's main airport. "We suspect you are engaged in terrorism," a security officer told her. "Open your luggage!" Inside her suitcase were theater costumes and stage decorations. "See, your theater is a terrorist group, and you are their leader -- we should ban you from leaving the country," the guard threatened. In the end, she was allowed to travel, but Kolyada always fears that the next theater performance could be the last. Once in 2007, police officers came to one of Belarus Free Theater's performances in Minsk and detained not only members of the theater troupe, but the entire audience for 24 hours.
Mikhail Marinich, former minister of foreign economic affairs
After waging an unsuccessful presidential campaign to unseat Lukashenko in 2001, Mikhail Marinich, a former minister of foreign economic affairs, was detained and sentenced to five years in prison. One line on his medical records read: "If the patient does not receive his medicine on time, he may be at risk for a stroke." Yet Marinich did not receive prescribed medications while in prison. In May 2003, shortly after being moved to a prison 200 kilometers away from Minsk, he in fact suffered a stroke. For three days, he lay suffering in his cell without any medical help. He survived and continues to support opposition candidates.
Pavel Marinich, opposition activist
After his father decided to run against Lukashenko in 2001, his son, Pavel, saw his own business opportunities collapse. "Authorities closed all channels for my company," he told me. Today he continues to work alongside his father in the opposition movement.
Ales Antsipenka, founder of Belarus's "Underground University"
Ten years ago, writer and philosopher Ales Antsipenka founded the Belarusian Collegium, known in Minsk as the "Underground University." Although the government has never allowed him to formally register the college, it runs MA and BA programs in modern history, journalism, literature, and philosophy. Antsipenka knows he treads on precarious ground, but he remains optimistic about the future. "I believe that change is coming soon," he says. "We will someday come out from underground and even have an American University in Belarus."
General Valery Fralou, former member of parliament
Valery Fralou remembers the day in 2004 when seven masked men beat him almost to death on the stairs outside his apartment. That was shortly after Fralou, then a member of parliament, had helped to form a coalition supporting measures that Lukashenko opposed. When he left the government, deeply disillusioned, "Lukashenko made me and all of his critics persona non-grata, so we could not be employed by any state company," the former army officer told me. Today he is a leader of the Oficerskoe Sobranie -- Officers' Union -- organizing retired generals like himself in support of the opposition. "You can take my word -- you can be sure, there will be no Lukashenko the president. His days have come to the end," he says, ever hopeful.